Political polarisation is underway in both regions as the election notification is nearing. A complete different scenario is emerging in both regions. Though there may be multi cornered contests in terms of number, real fight will be between two forces in both areas.
Do or die for TDP and YSRCP
TDP is consolidating its strengths by pooling heavy weights from other parties. Entire Kamma community is rallying behind TDP-BJP alliance, where as Reddy community is in splits. Kapu community is also divided.
Chandrababu is moving hell and heaven to win this election at any cost, where as Jaganmohan Reddy is losing his strength. He is failing to keep his folk united. Still all the surveys came out so far predict YSRCP will be the main gainer and TDP may settle for second place.
But situation is changing very fast. Realignment of social groups is also on cards. Which groups align with whom will make the difference.
Swing towards TRS over Congress in Telangana
TRS is fledging its energies by day in day out. Congress is still strong enough but unable to give united fight. TDP and YSRCP lost their relevance in Telangana. But they have some base in few districts and in few constituencies.
YSRCP may not win a single seat in Telangana, where as TDP may get a single digit number. TDP is trying to get some relevance by aligning with BJP and also cultivating BC vote bank. But it may not go well with Telangana populace.
But real fight is going to be between TRS and Congress. Crystallisation of choices reduced to these two parties once election notification given.